Quote Ticker
  • CORN (Mar 16) 363'6 -2'0 2/8/16   10:19 AM CST
  • CORN (May 16) 368'6 -2'0 2/8/16   10:19 AM CST
  • CORN (Jul 16) 373'6 -2'2 2/8/16   10:19 AM CST
  • SOYBEANS (Mar 16) 864'2 -3'2 2/8/16   10:19 AM CST
  • SOYBEANS (May 16) 867'6 -3'4 2/8/16   10:19 AM CST
  • SOYBEANS (Jul 16) 874'0 -3'6 2/8/16   10:19 AM CST
  • WHEAT (Mar 16) 464'4 -2'2 2/8/16   10:19 AM CST
  • WHEAT (May 16) 468'0 -2'4 2/8/16   10:19 AM CST
  • WHEAT (Jul 16) 473'2 -2'4 2/8/16   10:19 AM CST
  • SOYBEAN MEAL (Mar 16) 2655 5 2/8/16   10:19 AM CST
  • SOYBEAN MEAL (May 16) 2671 4 2/8/16   10:19 AM CST
  • SOYBEAN MEAL (Jul 16) 2697 4 2/8/16   10:19 AM CST
  • SOYBEAN OIL (Mar 16) 30.76 -0.47 2/8/16   10:19 AM CST
  • SOYBEAN OIL (May 16) 31.00 -0.47 2/8/16   10:19 AM CST
  • SOYBEAN OIL (Jul 16) 31.24 -0.46 2/8/16   10:19 AM CST
  • OATS (Mar 16) 199'4 2'4 2/8/16   10:01 AM CST
  • OATS (May 16) 201'6 0'2 2/8/16   10:11 AM CST
  • OATS (Jul 16) 208'4 0'4 2/8/16   10:11 AM CST
  • LEAN HOGS (Feb 16) 65.225 0.425 2/8/16   10:19 AM CST
  • LEAN HOGS (Apr 16) 70.375 0.075 2/8/16   10:19 AM CST
  • LEAN HOGS (May 16) 76.625 0.200 2/8/16   9:53 AM CST
  • LIVE CATTLE (Feb 16) 133.050 - 3.000 2/8/16   10:05 AM CST
  • LIVE CATTLE (Apr 16) 131.400 - 3.000 2/8/16   10:16 AM CST
  • LIVE CATTLE (Jun 16) 121.075 - 2.975 2/8/16   10:18 AM CST
  • ETHANOL (Mar 16) 1.429 -0.007 2/8/16   10:13 AM CST
  • ETHANOL (Apr 16) 1.440 -0.005 2/8/16   9:35 AM CST
  • ETHANOL (May 16) 1.446 0.016 2/5/16   1:16 PM CST
  • MILK CLASS III (Feb 16) 13.76 -0.07 2/8/16   9:46 AM CST
  • MILK CLASS III (Mar 16) 13.90 -0.06 2/8/16   10:10 AM CST
  • MILK CLASS III (Apr 16) 13.92 -0.04 2/8/16   9:45 AM CST
  • 10 YR US TREASURY NOTE (Mar 16) 131'06.0 0'26.5 2/8/16   10:19 AM CST
  • 10 YR US TREASURY NOTE (Jun 16) 130'24.0 0'28.0 2/8/16   10:14 AM CST
  • 10 YR US TREASURY NOTE (Sep 16)     CST
  • S&P 500 INDEX (Mar 16) 1831.50 - 43.80 2/8/16   10:19 AM CST
  • S&P 500 INDEX (Jun 16) 1838.00 - 28.50 2/8/16   8:35 AM CST
  • S&P 500 INDEX (Sep 16) 1820.00 - 39.00 2/8/16   9:13 AM CST


Local Cash Bids
North Central PAMill Delivery Cash   Basis    
 #2 Yellow Corn Chart Mar 31, 16    
 #1 Yellow Soybeans Chart Mar 31, 16    
 #2 Soft Red Winter Wheat Chart Sep 30, 16    
Western PA Farm Delivery Cash   Basis    
 #2 Yellow Corn Chart Feb 29, 16    
  Chart Mar 31, 16    
 #2 Soft Red Wheat Chart Feb 29, 16    
  Chart Mar 31, 16    
  Chart Jul 31, 16    
  Chart Aug 31, 16    
  Chart Sep 30, 16    
South Central PA Mil Delivery Cash   Basis    
 #2 Yellow Corn Chart Feb 29, 16    
  Chart Mar 31, 16    
 #2 Soft Red Wheat Chart Feb 29, 16    
  Chart Mar 31, 16    
  Chart Jul 31, 16    
  Chart Aug 31, 16    
  Chart Sep 30, 16    
 #1 Yellow Soybeans Chart Feb 29, 16    
  Chart Mar 31, 16    
Eastern OH Delivery Cash   Basis    
 #2 Yellow Corn Chart Feb 29, 16    
  Chart Mar 31, 16    
 #1 Yellow Soybeans Chart Feb 29, 16    
  Chart Mar 31, 16    
 #2 Soft Red Winter Wheat Chart Feb 29, 16    
  Chart Mar 31, 16    
  Chart Jul 31, 16    
  Chart Aug 31, 16    
  Chart Sep 30, 16    
Fob New Jersey Delivery Cash   Basis    
 #2 Yellow Corn Chart Feb 29, 16    
  Chart Mar 31, 16    
 #2 Soft Red Wheat Chart Feb 29, 16    
  Chart Mar 31, 16    
  Chart Jul 31, 16    
  Chart Aug 31, 16    
  Chart Sep 30, 16    
 #1 Yellow Soybeans Chart Feb 29, 16    
  Chart Mar 31, 16    
Price as of 02/08/16 10:30AM CST.
Click to view more Cash Bid Trading System

CHART OF THE DAY


Feb 3, 2016

**  Final look at 2015 crop production pegged US yields at 168.4 (-0.9 from Nov) & production at 13.6 bil.
**  South American corn planting near complete. Weather mostly  favorable – Arg a little dry.
** World corn carryout seen  near a  record high.  World Stocks/Use at top-end of a ten year range.
** Ethanol margins  30 c/bu loss.   Hogs $10/head profit for  spot, $40/head for summer.
** Corn facing increased competition for  both exports and feeding  – milo,  feed wheat,  Brazil corn, etc.
** Funds  net short  just under 200,000 corn. Near record  high  combined CBT & KCBT Wheat shorts.

Overnight, the corn market was extremely quiet, trading less than 6,000 contracts outright and finishing
unchanged by the AM break.  In a Jan-Feb timing defined by a lack of fresh news, today’s early coverage
could be the “low”.  That being said, the market will have plenty to look forward to in the near future,
though whether they can be  market-moving  is  anyone’s  guess.    Informa  will  be  out  later  today  with
world production estimates, razil gov’t is out tomorrow AM with crop estimates, Goldman Roll out of
March longs starts Friday, and the Feb WASDE is next Tuesday.  As for today, we do have the weekly EIA
stats at 9:30; we have mixed expectations on production given the 5% high-to-low decline in output
today  and  improving  margins  (from  big  losses  to  “manageable”).    There  was  political  chatter  around
after the surprise Iowa caucus victory of GOP hopeful Ted Cruz.  Though he later back-tracked on the
stance, Cruz made  headlines  with his opposition to the RFS ethanol mandates  – once  considered an
untouchable  “third  rail”  of  Iowa  caucus  politics.    First,  note that the executive  branch has very little
influence over biofuel policy, and it would take a majority in Congress to initiate such an action.  That
tends to be difficult to do in a Senate where ag states have outsized influence.  Also, the Iowa Caucus
has been terrible at predicting winners (Huckabee in ’08, Santorum in ’12?).

The minor gap in the $3.63-$3.64 area is key to breaking this market back down. Resistance is clearly
layered thick  above $3.70 CH.   Upside counts remain open to $3.80, potentially, though producers or
market bears should be scaling into shorts already. End-users should take a good look  at  buying long-
dated  calls on weakness with vol plumbing multi-year lows.

The corn market mustered up a modest “Turnaround Tuesday” bounce, finishing a penny better in the
March and two cents higher in the new crop Dec.  Funds were estimated net buyers of 5,000-10,000
corn today, which would take their net short to about 110,000 contracts, when using the FT’s latest
math.  On the highs, there was a limited amount of farmer selling, which tended to soften basis levels.
Contributing to early weakness was firming ideas of better precip for dry areas of Argentina heading into
the  weekend.

Forecasts  remain  erratic,  but  the  pendulum  seems  to  be  swinging  back  to  bearish?
Follow-up rain is still a must?  Brazil outlook remains fantastic; combined South American corn crop
looks  to  be  heading  for  another  100+  mmt  harvest.
Grain  users  digging  out  from  one  foot  snow
accumulations  in  the  Central  Midwest  today.
Small  Asian  &  Latin  interest  remains  around  export
markets, and today’s dip in the US Dollar will no doubt be welcomed.  Exporters will be looking to make
up for lost time with Brazil shifting its focus to soy loadings.

 


Local Conditions
Mifflintown, PA
Chg Zip Code: 
Temp: 36oF Feels Like: 36oF
Humid: 70% Dew Pt: 27oF
Barom: 29.79 Wind Dir: N
Cond: N/A Wind Spd: 0 mph
Sunrise: 7:10 Sunset: 5:32
As reported at SELINSGROVE, PA at 11:00 AM
 
Local Radar
Mifflintown, PA
Radar
 
Local Forecast
Mifflintown, PA

Monday

Tuesday

Wednesday

Thursday

Friday
High: 43°F
Low: 22°F
Precip: 38%
High: 38°F
Low: 30°F
Precip: 80%
High: 34°F
Low: 27°F
Precip: 79%
High: 26°F
Low: 19°F
Precip: 0%
High: 27°F
Low: 13°F
Precip: 20%
View complete Local Weather

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Video Clips
Video of the Day (below). A small 2009 Chevy Malibu demolishes
a 1959 Chevy Bel Air in a crash test, demonstrating just how far
passenger protection has advanced in the last fifty years



.

Futures
@C - CORN - CBOT
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Mar 16 366'0 367'0 363'2 363'6 -2'0 365'6 10:19A Chart for @C6H Options for @C6H
May 16 370'4 371'4 368'0 368'6 -2'0 370'6 10:20A Chart for @C6K Options for @C6K
Jul 16 376'0 376'6 373'2 373'6 -2'2 376'0 10:20A Chart for @C6N Options for @C6N
@S - SOYBEANS - CBOT
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Mar 16 867'4 868'6 862'4 864'2 -3'2 867'4 10:19A Chart for @S6H Options for @S6H
May 16 871'2 872'2 866'2 867'6 -3'4 871'2 10:20A Chart for @S6K Options for @S6K
Jul 16 877'6 878'0 872'4 874'0 -3'6 877'6 10:20A Chart for @S6N Options for @S6N
@W - WHEAT - CBOT
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Mar 16 466'0 468'6 462'4 464'4 -2'2 466'6 10:19A Chart for @W6H Options for @W6H
May 16 470'0 472'0 466'0 468'0 -2'4 470'4 10:19A Chart for @W6K Options for @W6K
Jul 16 475'0 477'0 471'0 473'2 -2'4 475'6 10:20A Chart for @W6N Options for @W6N
@SM - SOYBEAN MEAL - CBOT
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Mar 16 2650 2662 2633 2655 5 2650 10:20A Chart for @SM6H Options for @SM6H
May 16 2668 2678 2651 2671 4 2667 10:20A Chart for @SM6K Options for @SM6K
Jul 16 2695 2704 2678 2697 4 2693 10:20A Chart for @SM6N Options for @SM6N
@BO - SOYBEAN OIL - CBOT
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Mar 16 31.29 31.30 30.75 30.76 -0.47 31.23 10:20A Chart for @BO6H Options for @BO6H
May 16 31.47 31.53 30.98 31.00 -0.47 31.47 10:19A Chart for @BO6K Options for @BO6K
Jul 16 31.74 31.76 31.21 31.24 -0.46 31.70 10:20A Chart for @BO6N Options for @BO6N
@O - OATS - CBOT
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Mar 16 197'2 200'2 196'6 199'4 2'4 197'0 10:09A Chart for @O6H Options for @O6H
May 16 201'4 204'0 201'4 201'6 0'2 201'4 10:11A Chart for @O6K Options for @O6K
Jul 16 208'6 208'6 208'4 208'4 0'4 208'0 10:11A Chart for @O6N Options for @O6N
@HE - LEAN HOGS - CME
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Feb 16 65.275 65.750 65.050 65.225 0.425 64.800 10:20A Chart for @HE6G Options for @HE6G
Apr 16 70.000 70.950 70.000 70.375 0.075 70.300 10:19A Chart for @HE6J Options for @HE6J
May 16 76.625 76.625 76.625 76.625 0.200 76.425 10:19A Chart for @HE6K Options for @HE6K
@LE - LIVE CATTLE - CME
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Feb 16 134.825 134.825 133.050 133.050 - 3.000 136.050 10:11A Chart for @LE6G Options for @LE6G
Apr 16 133.000 133.100 131.400 131.400 - 3.000 134.400 10:19A Chart for @LE6J Options for @LE6J
Jun 16 122.800 122.850 121.050 121.075 - 2.975 124.050 10:19A Chart for @LE6M Options for @LE6M
@AC - ETHANOL - CBOT
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Mar 16 1.429 1.435 1.429 1.429 -0.007 1.436 10:19A Chart for @AC6H Options for @AC6H
Apr 16 1.440 1.446 1.440 1.440 -0.005 1.445 10:19A Chart for @AC6J Options for @AC6J
May 16 1.446 0.016 1.450s 10:19A Chart for @AC6K Options for @AC6K
@DA - MILK CLASS III - CME
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Feb 16 13.82 13.83 13.76 13.76 -0.07 13.83 10:17A Chart for @DA6G Options for @DA6G
Mar 16 13.96 13.96 13.88 13.90 -0.06 13.96 10:14A Chart for @DA6H Options for @DA6H
Apr 16 13.96 13.96 13.91 13.92 -0.04 13.96 10:18A Chart for @DA6J Options for @DA6J
@TY - 10 YR US TREASURY NOTE - CBOT
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Mar 16 130'11.0 131'08.5 130'05.5 131'06.0 0'26.5 130'11.5 10:19A Chart for @TY6H Options for @TY6H
Jun 16 129'29.0 130'24.5 129'23.5 130'24.0 0'28.0 129'28.0 10:19A Chart for @TY6M Options for @TY6M
Sep 16 129'05.0 Chart for @TY6U Options for @TY6U
@ZG - Not Authorized - ICEFU
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Feb 16 Chart for @ZG6G Options for @ZG6G
Mar 16 Chart for @ZG6H Options for @ZG6H
Apr 16 Chart for @ZG6J Options for @ZG6J
SP - S&P 500 INDEX - CME
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Mar 16 1851.50 1852.00 1826.80 1831.50 - 43.80 1875.30 10:19A Chart for SP6H Options for SP6H
Jun 16 1838.00 1838.00 1823.50 1838.00 - 28.50 1866.50 10:05A Chart for SP6M Options for SP6M
Sep 16 1820.00 1826.00 1816.00 1820.00 - 39.00 1859.00 10:05A Chart for SP6U Options for SP6U
DJ - DJF0 - UNKNOWN
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Jan 20 Chart for DJ0F Options for DJ0F
My Custom Markets
Symbol Open High Low Last Change Close Time More

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Fertilizer
Please give us a call for current and in season
prices for all of your fertilizer needs. We have very
competitive prices on 30% UAN, Starter, MAP,
DAP, AMS, and Potash.  We also offer custom
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(877) 343-4278 or email us @
jon@keystonecommodities.com
 

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An investment in futures contracts involves a high degree of risk and is suitable only for persons who can assume the risk of loss in excess of their margin deposits.  You should carefully consider whether futures trading is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience, trading objectives, financial resources, and other relevant circumstances. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
 

 
 
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